J.P. Morgan Asset Management
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Articles by J.P. Morgan Asset Management
- Market Intelligence
Record Market Highs Are Masking Growing Concentration Risks in Portfolios
Investors may also question how big the risk is if these stocks often rally enthusiastically after a pullback.
- Research
Shipping Companies Could Become Unexpected Winners From Strait of Hormuz Disruption
Exposure to maritime transportation can act as a geopolitical hedge since the earning power of vessels can improve when trade is disrupted.
- Market Intelligence
Trump and XI Meet as Investors Brace for Next Phase of U.S.-China Trade Tensions
Investors should not expect tariff peace, as tariff and non-tariff barriers between both countries remain structurally elevated.
- Market Intelligence
Inflation Could Stay Above Fed Targets Until 2027 Under Every Scenario
There are a number of paths inflation could take over the next 12 months, all of which are likely to keep the Fed on hold
- Market Intelligence
Stocks Shake off Crisis After Crisis as Earnings Outlook Strengthens
Since the market low, the S&P 500 is up 13%. Last year, one month after reciprocal tariffs were postponed, markets had also jumped 13% off the lows.
- Market Intelligence
Powell Extends Stay While Warsh Previews Shake-up in Fed Strategy
Warsh has signaled sweeping changes to how the Fed operates that would not require congressional approval, which could change how markets price the Fed.
- Active Insights
Private Markets Open up to Individuals, but Liquidity Promises Face Real-World Stress
Semi-liquid funds are the most accessible way to invest in alternative assets, but they do come with trade-offs.
- Research
Volatile Markets, Hidden Taxes: What Investors Need to Know Now
Tax-loss harvesting, in principle, lets investors capitalize on negative performance during periods of market stress.
- Artificial Intelligence
AI Growth Is Running Into Hard Limits Across Chips, Power, and Data Centers
As demand exceeds supply, pricing power accrues to the providers of scarce inputs.
- Market Intelligence
Bankruptcies, AI Shocks, and Liquidity Fears: What’s Really Happening in Private Credit
In private credit, as with any type of credit, the key concerns are credit quality and the potential for defaults.
- Market Intelligence
Double-Digit Earnings Growth Powers Stocks Higher Despite Global Uncertainty
Profits are expected to grow 12.6% in Q1, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth.
- Market Intelligence
Rising Oil and Sticky Inflation Are Rewriting Rate Expectations
Markets still expect modest steepening driven by a gradual grind higher in the long end.
- Active Insights
Oil Spike and Helium Shortage Put Pressure on AI Chip Production
The conflict is also introducing new pressure points for the AI buildout, where several critical inputs trace back to the Persian Gulf.
- Market Intelligence
S&P 500 Stays Steady While Stock-Level Chaos Creates Opportunity
Stocks are not only not moving lower in-sync, but like sector performance, many individual names are outperforming.
- Market Intelligence
Fed Holds Rates Steady as Markets Abandon Cut Expectations and Shift Hawkish
Developments in the Middle East on the U.S. economy remains highly uncertain but likely shifts the outlook for policy rates in a hawkish direction.
- Market Intelligence
Rising Energy Costs Boost Profits but Limit Broader Economic Upside
Altogether, the base case is that energy companies will lock in profits rather than materially ramp up production.
- Active Insights
Investors Flee to Safety, but Gold, Dollar, and Bitcoin Tell Conflicting Stories
Many have met elevated stagflation concerns with a renewed interest in safe haven assets.
- Market Intelligence
Energy Profits Jump Fast in Crises—but Timing That Trade Gets Harder
Energy sector profits are likely to pick up in Q1 and Q2 but growth may fade in the second half of the year.
- Artificial Intelligence
Productivity Rebound Accelerates as AI Impact Still Lies Ahead
As tempting as it is to credit artificial intelligence here, it would likely be premature.
- Artificial Intelligence
Qubits, Billions in Funding, and Race to Commercial Quantum Advantage
Quantum computing is unlikely to meaningfully reduce demand for conventional data centers or chips in the immediate future.
- Active Insights
Fannie and Freddie IPO Could Reshape Mortgage Rates, MBS Markets, and Housing Finance
The bond market impact is highly uncertain, though the reaction is likely to be felt most immediately in the agency MBS market.
- Market Intelligence
Iran Conflict Raises Stakes for Oil, Inflation, and Global Markets
Most geopolitical issues are geographically contained and only indirectly impact domestic growth and earnings.
- Active Insights
Value Stocks Stage a Comeback as Market Leadership Rotates Beyond Big Tech
Cyclical, structural, and secular stars are aligning for value stocks.
- Research
Public Market Volatility Raises Questions for Private Equity Tech Exposure
The strongest software businesses have defensible characteristics that extend well beyond their codebase.
- Market Intelligence
Unemployment Falls, Wages Steady, and Fed Rate Cut Odds Narrow
Despite statistical distortions, this report showed a labor market with decent momentum heading into 2026.
- Market Intelligence
The Fed Holds Steady as Policy Shifts Toward a Longer Pause
Most likely next move remains a rate cut, but hinted this is unlikely until it becomes clearer that the inflationary effects of tariffs will be temporary.
- Research
After a Lost Year for Quality, Resilience Is Back on the Table
Given the way in which they can make companies more resilient while also ensuring that company performance is translated into shareholder value.
- Market Intelligence
A New Commodity Divide Is Emerging Between Metals and Energy
Metal prices have been climbing while energy prices face downward pressure.
- Active Insights
Robotics and the Next Phase of AI Investing
They also need fast, reliable chips inside the machine so they can see, decide and move in real time, without waiting on the cloud.
- Market Intelligence
Lower Mortgage Rates Face a Structural Ceiling
All things considered, this action may compress MBS spreads at the margin, but it’s unlikely to deliver a step-change lower in mortgage rates.
- Active Insights
The AI Investment Reality Check: Massive Spend, Uneven Returns
Achieving a 10% return on current AI investments could require $650 billion in annual revenue, or $35 from every iPhone user monthly.
- Market Intelligence
A Quiet CPI Print Won’t Move the Fed—Here’s Why Policy Is Likely on Hold Into 2026
Even with the slightly softer print, a full 25 bps cut isn’t priced in until July, versus June after the December jobs report.
- Market Intelligence
U.S. Detains Venezuela’s President: Geopolitical Shockwaves and What It Means for Markets
At a minimum, the combined impact will create another layer of uncertainty for global growth and markets in the year ahead.
- Research
Cool Inflation, Rising Unemployment—but Don’t Trust the Data Just Yet
Investors are pricing in approximately a 20% chance of a January rate cut and ~60 basis points of easing in 2026.
- Research
The S&P 500’s Rally Isn’t Running on Fumes—Here’s What’s Really Powering Returns
Not only were returns driven by multiples in 2023, but they were also highly concentrated, as the AI-spawned Magnificent 7 drove 63% of returns.
- Market Intelligence
Beyond the 60/40: Why Investors Are Turning To Hedge Funds as Policy Volatility Rises
Manifesting in a K-shaped stock market: the top 10 stocks account for 40% of the large-cap index, while 40% of the small-cap index is unprofitable.