Markets
Market context, chart-driven reads, and advisor-ready capital-market perspective.
Beyond the Forecast: Following the Money with John Kosar
Market noise is unavoidable. Getting trapped by it isn’t. John Kosar , founder, chief market strategist, and portfolio manager at Asbury Research , explains how a technical, quantitative, and data-driven approach can help advisors separate market signals from headline noise.
Jefferies Sets 9000 Market Target: Everything Must Go Right
What pushed yields higher was an economy running hot. S&P Global’s flash composite PMI jumped to 58.4 in September from 56.0. Output grew at the fastest pace in more than five years.
Consumer Credit Stress: What The Data Really Shows
Sorting the real signal from the viral one matters because one of them belongs in your portfolio decisions and the other belongs in the trash.
Why the S&P 500 Keeps Rising Even as US Interest Rates Rise
That leaves the expected policy rate for next year around one percentage point higher than markets predicted just a few months ago (a big jump).
S&P 500 Earnings Are 50% Above Trend. The Mean Reversion Risk Is Growing
This has been an incredible year in that Wall Street has spent all of it raising its earnings estimates, and the second-quarter season only accelerated the trend.
The Fed Just Hiked Rates. Here’s Why It May Not Fix Inflation
For all the volatility, the market ended roughly where it began. The Dow finished at 51,778, the Nasdaq at 26,418, and the Russell 2000 at 2,874.
Has the Bond Market Already Done the Fed’s Job?
If long-maturity yields are weighing on economic activity, has the bond market already done the Fed’s job?
Oil, Inflation and the Fed: Why Investors Should Expect More Market Volatility
In the stock market, the Russell 2000 and the S&P MidCap 400 took the worst beatings, declining by 2.41% and 1.87%, respectively.
The U.S. Debt Trap Isn’t Here—So When Is It Coming?
Without those aspects, and most importantly, without a date the event will occur, the analysis isn’t a “forecast,” it’s a “mood.”
Will the Fed Raise Rates? The Case for a Hike—and the Case Against It
Five-year inflation expectations, another tool many Fed members rely on, sit at 2.4%, slightly below where they were before the Iranian conflict.
The 3 Investing Myths That Could Be Costing You More Than You Think
From your first day as an investor, you are handed a scoreboard. The S&P 500 index. If you beat it, you win; but if you trail it, for any one of a million different reasons, you lose.
The Stock Market’s September Risk Is Bigger Than It Looks
The Nasdaq Composite finished at 26,506.99 and the Dow at 53,414.25, with the Dow off 0.2% on the week and the Russell 2000 essentially flat.
The S&P 500 Looks Expensive. So Why Does Another Valuation Measure Say It’s Cheap?
One market valuation says run for cover while another says bargain. Both market valuation tools use data from the same 500 S&P companies but interpret the market completely differently.
The Math of Loss: Why Big Investment Losses Are Harder to Recover From
What happens when a bad stretch arrives at the wrong moment in your life? Let’s do the math Wall Street skips, one number at a time.
Democratic Socialism Is Gaining Momentum. What Does It Mean for Your Money?
A durable shift of democratic socialism toward higher taxes on capital, wealth levies, and deficit-financed transfers changes the terrain
The Market Keeps Hitting New Highs. Are They Actually Justified?
Resilient economic growth, ebullient earnings growth, and valuation validations make the current string of new highs… justified!
The One Signal Behind Every 20% Market Decline in 151 Years
In 151 years, every single 20% market decline was accompanied by a double-digit earnings decline, with zero exceptions.
Three Charts Explaining Today’s Biggest Market Risks
With this new bullish dollar narrative, let’s explore how a strengthening dollar affects the US economy and foreign economies.
Investors Are Watching Margin Debt All Wrong
Most of them can’t measure margin debt risk in any way that helps you manage a portfolio, and the most popular one is the least useful of the bunch.
Have the Magnificent 7 Become the Biggest Buying Opportunity of 2026?
Nearly every major desk, from BofA and Morgan Stanley to Goldman, JPMorgan, and HSBC, is leaning the same contrarian way.
